Prediction: Dax Donders vs Lars Wagenaar
Team pages: Dax Donders · Lars Wagenaar
Prediction summary
Winner
Dax Donders
Lars Wagenaar
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dax Donders
4-6 (W-L)
Lars Wagenaar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dax Donders 1496 · Lars Wagenaar 1512
| Dax Donders | Lars Wagenaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lars Wagenaar makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Dax Donders | Lars Wagenaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.4 | 9.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dax Donders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Sep De Visser M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Max Van Nunen M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Sydney Zick M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/04 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Maik Steiner M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/04 | Niklas Guttau M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
Lars Wagenaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Noah Thurner M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Idriss Haddouch M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Sep De Visser M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Peetu Pohjola M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 30/06 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Timo De Visser M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/05 | Timo De Visser UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/05 | Andras Necz UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dax Donders vs Lars Wagenaar?
Our model gives 62% to Dax Donders, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.