Prediction: Lilian Marmousez vs Amadatus Admiraal
Team pages: Amadatus Admiraal
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilian Marmousez
Amadatus Admiraal
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lilian Marmousez
4-6 (W-L)
Amadatus Admiraal
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilian Marmousez 1549 · Amadatus Admiraal 1522
| Lilian Marmousez | Amadatus Admiraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amadatus Admiraal makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Lilian Marmousez | Amadatus Admiraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.1 | 11.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 59% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilian Marmousez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Taro Daniel Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/05 | Filip Cristian Jianu M25 Louny · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/05 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/05 | Lucas Poullain M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/05 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 12/05 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Amadatus Admiraal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Richard Antoni M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Mehdi Benchakroun UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Riccardo Campagnola UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Lautaro Agustin Corthey UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | Ronetto Van Tilburg UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Platon Tsarenko UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/05 | Sep De Visser UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Alexander Skripaev UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Timo De Visser UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilian Marmousez vs Amadatus Admiraal?
Our model gives 76% to Lilian Marmousez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.