Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 02/09, 06:30
Prediction: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Koki Matsuda
Team pages: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
6-4 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1534 · Koki Matsuda 1580
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Koki Matsuda (rating 1534 vs 1580).
Statistics
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.6 | 13.2-12.6 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 62.3% | 32.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Dominik Palan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Yerassyl Yerdilda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/07 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Fanming Meng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Chen Hui Ho M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Cem Ilkel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 55% to Koki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.