Tennis · W50 Leiria · 01/09, 13:00
Prediction: Adithya Karunaratne vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Team pages: Adithya Karunaratne · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Prediction summary
Winner
Adithya Karunaratne
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Adithya Karunaratne
8-2 (W-L)
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adithya Karunaratne 1629 · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1499
| Adithya Karunaratne | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adithya Karunaratne (rating 1629 vs 1499).
- Adithya Karunaratne is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adithya Karunaratne | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9 | 11.9-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 56% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adithya Karunaratne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Urszula Radwanska W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Kolie Allen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Rina Saigo W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Naiktha Bains W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Hannah Klugman W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Hiromi Abe W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Karla Popovic W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Kali Supova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Dora Miskovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Mia Pohankova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Theadora Rabman W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adithya Karunaratne vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?
Our model gives 70% to Adithya Karunaratne, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.