Tennis · M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 01/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mae Malige vs Alexandre Reco
Team pages: Mae Malige · Alexandre Reco
Prediction summary
Winner
Mae Malige
Alexandre Reco
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mae Malige
6-4 (W-L)
Alexandre Reco
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mae Malige
1–0
Alexandre Reco
(1 last)
- 27 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mae Malige 1449 · Alexandre Reco 1466
| Mae Malige | Alexandre Reco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mae Malige 1–0 Alexandre Reco (1).
- Note: Alexandre Reco makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mae Malige | Alexandre Reco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.7 | 9.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Mae Malige 1 – 0 Alexandre Reco (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mae Malige 1–0 Alexandre Reco
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/24 M25 Carnac | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mae Malige
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Romain Andres M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Maxence Rivet M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matias Reyniak M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Alexandre Reco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Rahul Dhokia M25 Aldershot |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 25/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Loan Lestir M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Zach Stephens M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Giulio Perego M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mae Malige vs Alexandre Reco?
Our model gives 54% to Mae Malige, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.