Tennis · M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 03/09, 11:30
Prediction: Axel Garcian vs John Echeverria
Team pages: Axel Garcian · John Echeverria
Prediction summary
Winner
Axel Garcian
John Echeverria
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Axel Garcian
4-6 (W-L)
John Echeverria
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Axel Garcian
1–0
John Echeverria
(1 last)
- 20 Oct2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Axel Garcian 1491 · John Echeverria 1445
| Axel Garcian | John Echeverria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Axel Garcian (rating 1491 vs 1445).
- Head-to-head: Axel Garcian 1–0 John Echeverria (1).
Statistics
| Axel Garcian | John Echeverria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.4 | 10.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Axel Garcian 1 – 0 John Echeverria (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Axel Garcian 1–0 John Echeverria
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/21 M25 Toulouse | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Axel Garcian
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Alexey Dubinin M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Valentin Lapalu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Tom Zeuch ITF M15 Forbach · Carpet |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Cyril Vandermeersch ITF M25 Nevers · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Pierre Delage ITF M25 Plaisir · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli ITF M25 Plaisir · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Alexis Gautier M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Pierre Delage M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Philippe Renard M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
John Echeverria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Victor Barreira Bonzom M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Andreja Petrovic Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Axel Garcian vs John Echeverria?
Our model gives 63% to John Echeverria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.