Tennis · M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 04/09, 12:00
Prediction: Alex Knaff vs Fares Zakaria
Team pages: Alex Knaff · Fares Zakaria
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Knaff
Fares Zakaria
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Knaff
3-7 (W-L)
Fares Zakaria
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Knaff 1461 · Fares Zakaria 1512
| Alex Knaff | Fares Zakaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fares Zakaria (rating 1461 vs 1512).
Statistics
| Alex Knaff | Fares Zakaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.2 | 11.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Knaff
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Guillaume Dalmasso M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Carlos Aguilar M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Conor Gannon M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Nicola Cigna UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Millen Hurrion M25 Nottingham |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Toby Martin M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 22/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Koki Matsuda M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/04 | Anton Shepp M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Fares Zakaria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Hady Habib M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 02/09 | Mathys Picard M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Vincent Reisach M15 Warsaw |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Jakub Solarski M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Yassine Smiej M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | William Mclennaghan M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Knaff vs Fares Zakaria?
Our model gives 51% to Fares Zakaria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.