Tennis · M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: Alex Knaff vs Raphael Perot
Team pages: Alex Knaff · Raphael Perot
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Knaff
Raphael Perot
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Knaff
3-7 (W-L)
Raphael Perot
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Knaff 1463 · Raphael Perot 1580
| Alex Knaff | Raphael Perot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raphael Perot (rating 1463 vs 1580).
- Raphael Perot is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alex Knaff | Raphael Perot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.3 | 12-7 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Knaff
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Fares Zakaria M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Guillaume Dalmasso M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Carlos Aguilar M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Conor Gannon M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Nicola Cigna UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Millen Hurrion M25 Nottingham |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Toby Martin M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 22/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Koki Matsuda M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Raphael Perot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Liam Branger M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Julio Cesar Porras M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/08 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Jack Loge M25 Koksijde |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/08 | Abel Forger M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Bjorn Schoemacher M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Knaff vs Raphael Perot?
Our model gives 72% to Raphael Perot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.