Tennis · M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mathys Picard vs Fares Zakaria
Team pages: Mathys Picard · Fares Zakaria
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Picard
Fares Zakaria
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Picard
5-5 (W-L)
Fares Zakaria
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Picard 1527 · Fares Zakaria 1480
| Mathys Picard | Fares Zakaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Picard (rating 1527 vs 1480).
- Note: Mathys Picard makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Mathys Picard | Fares Zakaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.3 | 10.5-12 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Picard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Loan Lestir M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Max Benaim M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 14-18 | W |
| 16/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Laurin Aerne M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Laurin Aerne M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Robinson Le Meur M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 28/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Fares Zakaria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Vincent Reisach M15 Warsaw |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Jakub Solarski M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Yassine Smiej M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | William Mclennaghan M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | David Bakonyi M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Flynn Thomas M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Picard vs Fares Zakaria?
Our model gives 50% to Mathys Picard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.