Tennis · M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 01/09, 16:00
Prediction: Ander Tarrio Ponte vs Hady Habib
Team pages: Ander Tarrio Ponte
Prediction summary
Winner
Ander Tarrio Ponte
Hady Habib
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ander Tarrio Ponte
8-2 (W-L)
Hady Habib
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ander Tarrio Ponte 1541 · Hady Habib 1448
| Ander Tarrio Ponte | Hady Habib | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ander Tarrio Ponte (rating 1541 vs 1448).
- Ander Tarrio Ponte is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Hady Habib makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Ander Tarrio Ponte | Hady Habib | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.5 | 9.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 9.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ander Tarrio Ponte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Jack McGary M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Gatien Chaine M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/08 | Lorenzo Lorusso M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Max Villar M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Lautaro Agustin Corthey UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Riccardo Campagnola UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Razvan Baiant UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hady Habib
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Doha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/02 | Tung-Lin Wu Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Zachary Svajda Australian Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Canberra · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/11 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Temuco · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/11 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/11 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/11 | Salvador Price Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Lima 2 · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ander Tarrio Ponte vs Hady Habib?
Our model gives 60% to Hady Habib, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.