Tennis · M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Matisse Bobichon vs Adan Freire Da Silva
Team pages: Matisse Bobichon · Adan Freire Da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Matisse Bobichon
Adan Freire Da Silva
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Matisse Bobichon
6-4 (W-L)
Adan Freire Da Silva
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matisse Bobichon
1–0
Adan Freire Da Silva
(1 last)
- 23 Jul2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matisse Bobichon 1525 · Adan Freire Da Silva 1451
| Matisse Bobichon | Adan Freire Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matisse Bobichon (rating 1525 vs 1451).
- Matisse Bobichon is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Matisse Bobichon 1–0 Adan Freire Da Silva (1).
Statistics
| Matisse Bobichon | Adan Freire Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.9 | 8.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 55% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Matisse Bobichon 1 – 0 Adan Freire Da Silva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matisse Bobichon 1–0 Adan Freire Da Silva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/24 M25 Porto | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matisse Bobichon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Daniel Jovanovski M15 Brisbane |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 17/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Scott Jones M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Niels Villard M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Adan Freire Da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Henri Haupt M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Tristan Berard M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alessio Basile M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Emilien Demanet M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Lorenzo Balducci M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Jordan Coudret Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matisse Bobichon vs Adan Freire Da Silva?
Our model gives 64% to Matisse Bobichon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.