Tennis · M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 01/09, 18:00
Prediction: Alexey Dubinin vs Axel Garcian
Team pages: Alexey Dubinin · Axel Garcian
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexey Dubinin
Axel Garcian
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alexey Dubinin
5-5 (W-L)
Axel Garcian
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexey Dubinin 1479 · Axel Garcian 1483
| Alexey Dubinin | Axel Garcian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexey Dubinin | Axel Garcian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-8.9 | 9.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexey Dubinin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Siddharth Gowthaman M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Matis Roche M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Andrea Brignacca M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Valentin Vanta M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Artem Bukin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 30/04 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Adam Bajurko M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/04 | Xiuyuan Guo M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
Axel Garcian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Valentin Lapalu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Tom Zeuch ITF M15 Forbach · Carpet |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Cyril Vandermeersch ITF M25 Nevers · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Pierre Delage ITF M25 Plaisir · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli ITF M25 Plaisir · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Alexis Gautier M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Pierre Delage M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Philippe Renard M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Ying Hou M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexey Dubinin vs Axel Garcian?
Our model gives 71% to Axel Garcian, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.