Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 03/09, 19:00
Prediction: Mayu Crossley vs Jenna Dean
Team pages: Mayu Crossley · Jenna Dean
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayu Crossley
Jenna Dean
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mayu Crossley
7-3 (W-L)
Jenna Dean
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mayu Crossley
1–0
Jenna Dean
(1 last)
- 06 Nov2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayu Crossley 1579 · Jenna Dean 1451
| Mayu Crossley | Jenna Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayu Crossley (rating 1579 vs 1451).
- Mayu Crossley is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mayu Crossley 1–0 Jenna Dean (1).
- Note: Mayu Crossley makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mayu Crossley | Jenna Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 0.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-9 | 6.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 50.9% |
| Break % | 58.8% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Mayu Crossley 1 – 0 Jenna Dean (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mayu Crossley 1–0 Jenna Dean
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/24 ITF W35 Miami | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayu Crossley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/08 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/08 | Chelsea Bluestein UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Jessica Kovalcik UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Ellie Blackford UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Isabella Barretto UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Nora Syrtveit UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Annika Penickova W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Fangran Tian W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Jenna Dean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Piper Charney W35 Florence |
1-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 01/06 | Kylie Collins W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Clervie Ngounoue W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Sofia Johnson W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Adriana Reami W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Hannah Klugman W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/04 | Carson Tanguilig W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Taylor Gruber W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayu Crossley vs Jenna Dean?
Our model gives 81% to Mayu Crossley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.