Prediction: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro vs Elias Julian Werner
Team pages: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro · Elias Julian Werner
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Elias Julian Werner
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
5-5 (W-L)
Elias Julian Werner
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 1453 · Elias Julian Werner 1381
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Elias Julian Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (rating 1453 vs 1381).
- Note: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Elias Julian Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.9 | 6.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 26.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Botond Kisantal M15 Pecs |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Dorian Tremblay M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Davide Tortora M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Dominik Kellovsky Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 05/07 | Salvador Price Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Elias Julian Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Arian Barbic M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Piet Luis Pinter M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/03 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Sungbeen Sim M15 Hinode · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Aubin Rouillon M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Preston Brown ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 17/12 | Alexander Klintcharov ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Victor Couto Loureiro vs Elias Julian Werner?
Our model gives 74% to Joao Victor Couto Loureiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.