Tennis · W50 Leiria · 02/09, 11:00
Prediction: Ariana Arseneault vs Anastasia Gasanova
Team pages: Ariana Arseneault · Anastasia Gasanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariana Arseneault
Anastasia Gasanova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ariana Arseneault
7-3 (W-L)
Anastasia Gasanova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariana Arseneault 1519 · Anastasia Gasanova 1494
| Ariana Arseneault | Anastasia Gasanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anastasia Gasanova makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Ariana Arseneault | Anastasia Gasanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9 | 10.5-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariana Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Alexandra Osborne WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Annabelle Xu WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Annabelle Xu W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Clemence Mercier W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Anastasia Gasanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Madison Brengle US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Emiliana Arango Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Darja Semenistaja Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Emerson Jones Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Varvara Lepchenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Martha Matoula W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Greet Minnen French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariana Arseneault vs Anastasia Gasanova?
Our model gives 67% to Anastasia Gasanova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.