Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 01/09, 18:00
Prediction: Natalie Oliver vs Sofia Rocchetti
Team pages: Natalie Oliver · Sofia Rocchetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalie Oliver
Sofia Rocchetti
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Natalie Oliver
2-8 (W-L)
Sofia Rocchetti
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalie Oliver 1410 · Sofia Rocchetti 1537
| Natalie Oliver | Sofia Rocchetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Rocchetti (rating 1410 vs 1537).
- Sofia Rocchetti is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Natalie Oliver makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Natalie Oliver | Sofia Rocchetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-12.3 | 10.8-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 54.5% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalie Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Sofia Rocchetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Berrak Kocak UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Martina Colmegna W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Benedetta Baratto W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Ana Maye Martinez W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lea Boskovic W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Viktoria Veleva W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalie Oliver vs Sofia Rocchetti?
Our model gives 80% to Sofia Rocchetti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.