Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 02/09, 05:00
Prediction: Fajing Sun vs Hanyi Liu
Team pages: Fajing Sun · Hanyi Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Fajing Sun
Hanyi Liu
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Fajing Sun
2-8 (W-L)
Hanyi Liu
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fajing Sun
2–0
Hanyi Liu
(2 last)
- 24 Oct2-0 12-5W
- 26 Aug2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fajing Sun 1491 · Hanyi Liu 1567
| Fajing Sun | Hanyi Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanyi Liu (rating 1491 vs 1567).
- Hanyi Liu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Fajing Sun 2–0 Hanyi Liu (2).
Statistics
| Fajing Sun | Hanyi Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-12.2 | 11.2-7.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 72% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Fajing Sun 2 – 0 Hanyi Liu (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fajing Sun 2–0 Hanyi Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/24 ITF M25 Huzhou | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08/19 Challenger Baotou | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Zangar Nurlanuly Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Hanyi Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jia Hu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fajing Sun vs Hanyi Liu?
Our model gives 62% to Fajing Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.