Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 06:30
Prediction: Koki Matsuda vs Jake Delaney
Team pages: Koki Matsuda · Jake Delaney
Prediction summary
Winner
Koki Matsuda
Jake Delaney
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Koki Matsuda
4-6 (W-L)
Jake Delaney
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Koki Matsuda 1573 · Jake Delaney 1594
| Koki Matsuda | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Koki Matsuda dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Jake Delaney dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 42.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Koki Matsuda | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-13.1 | 12.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Fanming Meng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Chen Hui Ho M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Cem Ilkel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Jeremy Zhang M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Joshua Charlton M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Duje Markovina M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Zachary Viiala M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Koki Matsuda vs Jake Delaney?
Our model gives 53% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.