Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 08:00
Prediction: Enzo Aguiard vs Hayato Matsuoka
Team pages: Enzo Aguiard · Hayato Matsuoka
Prediction summary
Winner
Enzo Aguiard
Hayato Matsuoka
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Enzo Aguiard
6-4 (W-L)
Hayato Matsuoka
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Enzo Aguiard 1587 · Hayato Matsuoka 1609
| Enzo Aguiard | Hayato Matsuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Enzo Aguiard dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 43.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Enzo Aguiard | Hayato Matsuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.6 | 12.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Enzo Aguiard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Reiya Komagata M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Hayato Matsuoka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Enzo Aguiard vs Hayato Matsuoka?
Our model gives 58% to Hayato Matsuoka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.