Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 08:00
Prediction: Khumoyun Sultanov vs Sergey Fomin
Team pages: Khumoyun Sultanov · Sergey Fomin
Prediction summary
Winner
Khumoyun Sultanov
Sergey Fomin
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Khumoyun Sultanov
7-3 (W-L)
Sergey Fomin
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Khumoyun Sultanov
4–3
Sergey Fomin
(7 last)
- 25 Jul2-1 16-12W
- 28 Oct2-0 13-6W
- 13 May1-2 14-16L
- 20 Feb2-0 14-11W
- 15 May0-2 4-12L
- 14 Feb1-2 13-16L
- 19 Sept2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Khumoyun Sultanov 1568 · Sergey Fomin 1506
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khumoyun Sultanov (rating 1568 vs 1506).
- Khumoyun Sultanov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Khumoyun Sultanov 4–3 Sergey Fomin (7).
- Note: Sergey Fomin makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-10.9 | 12.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Khumoyun Sultanov 4 – 3 Sergey Fomin (7)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Khumoyun Sultanov 4–3 Sergey Fomin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/24 ITF M25 Astana | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/10/21 ITF M25 Nur-Sultan | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/05/19 Challenger Samarkand | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/02/19 ITF M25 Aktobe | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/05/18 Challenger Samarkand Qual | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/02/18 ITF Kazakhstan F1 | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09/16 ITF Kazakhstan F5 | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khumoyun Sultanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Fumin Jiang Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Dominik Recek Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Karl Friberg M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Sergey Fomin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Alberto Lim Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Bill Chan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khumoyun Sultanov vs Sergey Fomin?
Our model gives 58% to Khumoyun Sultanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.