Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 06:30
Prediction: Kasidit Samrej vs Hiroki Moriya
Team pages: Kasidit Samrej · Hiroki Moriya
Prediction summary
Winner
Kasidit Samrej
Hiroki Moriya
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kasidit Samrej
6-4 (W-L)
Hiroki Moriya
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kasidit Samrej
1–1
Hiroki Moriya
(2 last)
- 06 Sept2-0 12-7W
- 18 Jun1-2 10-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasidit Samrej 1564 · Hiroki Moriya 1492
| Kasidit Samrej | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kasidit Samrej (rating 1564 vs 1492).
- Kasidit Samrej dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 40.6% break avg.
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Kasidit Samrej | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.6 | 10.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Kasidit Samrej 1 – 1 Hiroki Moriya (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kasidit Samrej 1–1 Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/24 ITF M25 Nakhon Si Thammarat | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06/23 ITF M25 Nakhon Si Thammarat | 1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yan Cheng Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Astana |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Astana |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Andreja Petrovic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasidit Samrej vs Hiroki Moriya?
Our model gives 57% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.