Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 01/09, 19:30
Prediction: Sofiia Nagornaia vs Zoe Hitt
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofiia Nagornaia
Zoe Hitt
Estimated games
18.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sofiia Nagornaia
4-6 (W-L)
Zoe Hitt
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofiia Nagornaia 1438 · Zoe Hitt 1391
| Sofiia Nagornaia | Zoe Hitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofiia Nagornaia (rating 1438 vs 1391).
Statistics
| Sofiia Nagornaia | Zoe Hitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-10.1 | 4.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 38.5% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofiia Nagornaia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Sebastianna Scilipoti UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Lina Glushko W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Veronika Lutsenko W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 23/04 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Valentina Khrebtova W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/04 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Aran Teixido Garcia W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Ilinca Sagmar W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 08/03 | Tamara Sramkova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/03 | Alena Kovackova W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
Zoe Hitt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Sophia Holod W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Jensen Diianni W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Capucine Jauffret W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Ana Maria Rincon W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/04 | Madison Brengle W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Isabella Foshee W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/01 | Noelia Zeballos W75 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Kira Matushkina ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Elizabeth Coleman ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofiia Nagornaia vs Zoe Hitt?
Our model gives 53% to Zoe Hitt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.