Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 01/09, 04:00
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Darya Astakhova
Team pages: Yuki Naito · Darya Astakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Darya Astakhova
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
6-4 (W-L)
Darya Astakhova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1486 · Darya Astakhova 1499
| Yuki Naito | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (10/match).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.1 | 9.5-11 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 10 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 54.7% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 23/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Mio Mushika W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Darya Astakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 20/08 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Lea Nilsson W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Antonia Rivera W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Darya Astakhova?
Our model gives 60% to Darya Astakhova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.