Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 02/09, 04:00
Prediction: Viktoria Morvayova vs Sara Saito
Team pages: Viktoria Morvayova · Sara Saito
Prediction summary
Winner
Viktoria Morvayova
Sara Saito
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Viktoria Morvayova
5-5 (W-L)
Sara Saito
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Viktoria Morvayova
1–0
Sara Saito
(1 last)
- 27 Jun2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viktoria Morvayova 1466 · Sara Saito 1506
| Viktoria Morvayova | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sara Saito (rating 1466 vs 1506).
- Head-to-head: Viktoria Morvayova 1–0 Sara Saito (1).
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (9.5/match).
Statistics
| Viktoria Morvayova | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.5 | 11.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 9.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Viktoria Morvayova 1 – 0 Sara Saito (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Morvayova 1–0 Sara Saito
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/23 ITF W40 Palma del Rio | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viktoria Morvayova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Wushuang Zheng W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Naho Sato W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Esther Adeshina W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Rachel Deegan W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Elina Nepliy WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Franziska Sziedat WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Sara Saito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Erika Sema W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Luciana Perry W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Kayla Cross W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Cadence Brace W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Yuki Naito W75 Granby |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viktoria Morvayova vs Sara Saito?
Our model gives 59% to Sara Saito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.