Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 02/09, 04:00
Prediction: Anastasia Kulikova vs Xinxin Yao
Team pages: Anastasia Kulikova · Xinxin Yao
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Kulikova
Xinxin Yao
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Kulikova
5-5 (W-L)
Xinxin Yao
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anastasia Kulikova
0–1
Xinxin Yao
(1 last)
- 17 Sept0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Kulikova 1582 · Xinxin Yao 1474
| Anastasia Kulikova | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Kulikova (rating 1582 vs 1474).
- Anastasia Kulikova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Anastasia Kulikova 0–1 Xinxin Yao (1).
- Note: Anastasia Kulikova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Kulikova | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.9 | 9-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Anastasia Kulikova 0 – 1 Xinxin Yao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anastasia Kulikova 0–1 Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/25 ITF W35 Shenyang | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Kulikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Ayana Akli W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Savannah Broadus W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Olivia Lincer W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Thea Frodin W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Dana Guzman W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Kristina Penickova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Alexandra Panagiotidou WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Xinxin Yao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Rasheeda McAdoo W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Ida Wobker W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Dayeon Back W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sophie Triquart W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Diana Martynov W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Isabel Skoog W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Darya Astakhova W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Kulikova vs Xinxin Yao?
Our model gives 59% to Anastasia Kulikova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.