Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 02/09, 04:00
Prediction: Joanna Garland vs Daria Khomutsianskaya
Team pages: Joanna Garland · Daria Khomutsianskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Joanna Garland
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Joanna Garland
3-7 (W-L)
Daria Khomutsianskaya
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joanna Garland 1505 · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1532
| Joanna Garland | Daria Khomutsianskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Joanna Garland makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Joanna Garland | Daria Khomutsianskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.9 | 11.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joanna Garland
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Priscilla Hon US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Leyre Romero Gormaz US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Celine Naef Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Britt Du Pree WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Angela Fita Boluda W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 07/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Elyse Tse W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Saumya Vig WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joanna Garland vs Daria Khomutsianskaya?
Our model gives 57% to Joanna Garland, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.