Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 01/09, 04:00
Prediction: Mei Yamaguchi vs Dayeon Back
Team pages: Mei Yamaguchi · Dayeon Back
Prediction summary
Winner
Mei Yamaguchi
Dayeon Back
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mei Yamaguchi
3-7 (W-L)
Dayeon Back
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mei Yamaguchi
1–0
Dayeon Back
(1 last)
- 22 Apr2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mei Yamaguchi 1458 · Dayeon Back 1514
| Mei Yamaguchi | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dayeon Back (rating 1458 vs 1514).
- Head-to-head: Mei Yamaguchi 1–0 Dayeon Back (1).
Statistics
| Mei Yamaguchi | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12 | 8.4-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 56.6% | 54.7% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Mei Yamaguchi 1 – 0 Dayeon Back (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mei Yamaguchi 1–0 Dayeon Back
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/25 W100 Tokyo | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mei Yamaguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Reina Goto W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Rebecca Marino W75 Granby |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Zongyu Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Junhan Zhang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Eunhye Lee W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Yidi Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Dayeon Back
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Laima Vladson W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Julie Pastikova W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Xinxin Yao W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Lea Nilsson W50 Horb |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Denislava Glushkova W50 Horb |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Madelief Hageman W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Oana Georgeta Simion W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mei Yamaguchi vs Dayeon Back?
Our model gives 60% to Dayeon Back, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.