Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 02/09, 04:00
Prediction: Sofia Costoulas vs Shiyu Ye
Team pages: Sofia Costoulas · Shiyu Ye
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Costoulas
Shiyu Ye
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Costoulas
7-3 (W-L)
Shiyu Ye
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Costoulas 1493 · Shiyu Ye 1532
| Sofia Costoulas | Shiyu Ye | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sofia Costoulas | Shiyu Ye | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.4 | 10.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 57% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Costoulas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Elvina Kalieva US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Jennifer Ruggeri US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Matilde Jorge W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Eva Alvarez Sande W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Shiyu Ye
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Rinko Matsuda W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Anchisa Chanta W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Han Shi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Sijia Wei W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 07/06 | Ekaterina Yashina W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Costoulas vs Shiyu Ye?
Our model gives 68% to Sofia Costoulas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.