Tennis · W50 Leiria · 31/08, 12:00
Prediction: Adithya Karunaratne vs Urszula Radwanska
Team pages: Adithya Karunaratne · Urszula Radwanska
Prediction summary
Winner
Adithya Karunaratne
Urszula Radwanska
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Adithya Karunaratne
8-2 (W-L)
Urszula Radwanska
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adithya Karunaratne 1590 · Urszula Radwanska 1486
| Adithya Karunaratne | Urszula Radwanska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adithya Karunaratne (rating 1590 vs 1486).
- Adithya Karunaratne is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Urszula Radwanska makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Adithya Karunaratne | Urszula Radwanska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-8.5 | 9.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adithya Karunaratne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Kolie Allen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Rina Saigo W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Naiktha Bains W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Hannah Klugman W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Hiromi Abe W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Karla Popovic W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Kali Supova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Dora Miskovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Dimitra Pavlou W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Urszula Radwanska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Julia Stusek W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Diana Marcinkevica W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Aliona Falei WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Marcelina Podlinska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Valentina Ryser W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anastasiia Sorska W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Esther Adeshina W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Petra Sedlackova W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adithya Karunaratne vs Urszula Radwanska?
Our model gives 70% to Adithya Karunaratne, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.