Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 31/08, 05:30
Prediction: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Valeria Savinykh
Team pages: Priska Madelyn Nugroho · Valeria Savinykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Priska Madelyn Nugroho
Valeria Savinykh
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Priska Madelyn Nugroho
8-2 (W-L)
Valeria Savinykh
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Priska Madelyn Nugroho
1–1
Valeria Savinykh
(2 last)
- 16 Sept2-1 16-13W
- 25 Dec0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Priska Madelyn Nugroho 1572 · Valeria Savinykh 1490
| Priska Madelyn Nugroho | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Priska Madelyn Nugroho (rating 1572 vs 1490).
- Priska Madelyn Nugroho is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Priska Madelyn Nugroho | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.5 | 10.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 55% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Priska Madelyn Nugroho 1 – 1 Valeria Savinykh (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Priska Madelyn Nugroho 1–1 Valeria Savinykh
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/25 ITF W35 Shenyang | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/12/22 ITF W25 Navi Mumbai | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Priska Madelyn Nugroho
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Ying Zhang W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Jiangxue Han W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 28/08 | Wushuang Zheng W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Rinko Matsuda W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Rina Saigo WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Duru Soke WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Sakura Hosogi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Hikaru Sato W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Valeria Savinykh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Eri Shimizu W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Emma Dong WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Mia Kupres WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Hina Inoue W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Celia Anson Sanchez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Valeria Savinykh?
Our model gives 64% to Priska Madelyn Nugroho, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.