Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 31/08, 05:30

Prediction: Jiaqi Wang vs Hikaru Sato

Team pages: Jiaqi Wang · Hikaru Sato

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Jiaqi Wang Hikaru Sato
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jiaqi Wang 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWLW
Hikaru Sato 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiaqi Wang 1544 · Hikaru Sato 1515
Jiaqi WangHikaru Sato
Our model54%46%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jiaqi WangHikaru Sato
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.61.3-1.2
Games (G-P)9.8-6.912.6-11.5
Aces0.72.5
Double faults1.33.2
1st serve %65%63.5%
Break %64.1%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiaqi Wang

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Yuno Kitahara
W75 Tianjin
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 Yuhan Wang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 2-7 L
01/07 Guyu Xu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
27/06 Meiqi Guo
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 6-10 L
26/06 Chenting Zhu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
25/06 Jiayu Xu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Wenfei Yu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
21/06 Evialina Laskevich
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/06 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
19/06 Han Shi
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Hikaru Sato

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Yingqun Sun
W75 Tianjin
2-1 16-12 W
12/08 Julia Avdeeva
W35 Aldershot
0-2 8-12 L
11/08 Indianna Spink
W35 Aldershot
2-1 17-14 W
06/08 Amelia Rajecki
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
05/08 Mao Mushika
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-1 19-14 W
30/07 Sayaka Ishii
W35 Aldershot
1-2 12-16 L
28/07 Mio Mushika
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-5 W
27/06 Priska Madelyn Nugroho
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/06 Aishi Das
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/06 Anchisa Chanta
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiaqi Wang vs Hikaru Sato?

Our model gives 52% to Jiaqi Wang, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.