Tennis · M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 31/08, 10:00
Prediction: Jack McGary vs Ander Tarrio Ponte
Team pages: Jack McGary · Ander Tarrio Ponte
Prediction summary
Winner
Jack McGary
Ander Tarrio Ponte
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jack McGary
2-8 (W-L)
Ander Tarrio Ponte
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack McGary 1435 · Ander Tarrio Ponte 1550
| Jack McGary | Ander Tarrio Ponte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ander Tarrio Ponte (rating 1435 vs 1550).
- Ander Tarrio Ponte is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jack McGary | Ander Tarrio Ponte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.6 | 11.2-10 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 29.5% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack McGary
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Maksim Shin M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Alexandr Binda M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Ivan Zaytsev M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/05 | John Echeverria M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 12/05 | Evgeny Tyurnev M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/04 | Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz De Rozas M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Rafael De Alba M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/04 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/03 | Iiro Vasa M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ander Tarrio Ponte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Gatien Chaine M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/08 | Lorenzo Lorusso M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Max Villar M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Lautaro Agustin Corthey UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Riccardo Campagnola UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Razvan Baiant UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack McGary vs Ander Tarrio Ponte?
Our model gives 70% to Ander Tarrio Ponte, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.