Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 31/08, 04:00
Prediction: Hiroki Moriya vs S D Prajwal Dev
Team pages: Hiroki Moriya · S D Prajwal Dev
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Moriya
S D Prajwal Dev
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Moriya
4-6 (W-L)
S D Prajwal Dev
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Moriya 1470 · S D Prajwal Dev 1493
| Hiroki Moriya | S D Prajwal Dev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hiroki Moriya | S D Prajwal Dev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11 | 10.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Andreja Petrovic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
S D Prajwal Dev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Hanlei Lu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/08 | Amit Vales Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/08 | Alex De Gabriele Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Marcelo Zormann Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Daniel Uta Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Moriya vs S D Prajwal Dev?
Our model gives 61% to Hiroki Moriya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.