Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 31/08, 04:00
Prediction: Rinko Matsuda vs Shiyu Ye
Team pages: Rinko Matsuda · Shiyu Ye
Prediction summary
Winner
Rinko Matsuda
Shiyu Ye
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rinko Matsuda
8-2 (W-L)
Shiyu Ye
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rinko Matsuda 1582 · Shiyu Ye 1499
| Rinko Matsuda | Shiyu Ye | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rinko Matsuda (rating 1582 vs 1499).
- Rinko Matsuda is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rinko Matsuda | Shiyu Ye | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.3 | 10.2-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 56% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rinko Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Meng Yi Chen W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/08 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 20/08 | Na Ri Kim W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Xiran Lan W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Shiyu Ye
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Anchisa Chanta W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Han Shi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Sijia Wei W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 07/06 | Ekaterina Yashina W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 31/05 | Ekaterina Maklakova W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rinko Matsuda vs Shiyu Ye?
Our model gives 62% to Rinko Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.