Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 31/08, 04:00
Prediction: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming Meng
Team pages: Koki Matsuda · Fanming Meng
Prediction summary
Winner
Koki Matsuda
Fanming Meng
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Koki Matsuda
5-5 (W-L)
Fanming Meng
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Koki Matsuda 1537 · Fanming Meng 1471
| Koki Matsuda | Fanming Meng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Koki Matsuda (rating 1537 vs 1471).
Statistics
| Koki Matsuda | Fanming Meng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.2 | 9.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Chen Hui Ho M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Cem Ilkel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Fanming Meng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Adrian Arcon M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Jangjun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Amirkhamza Nasridinov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Koki Matsuda vs Fanming Meng?
Our model gives 67% to Koki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.