Tennis · W50 Leiria · 30/08, 10:30

Prediction: Sayaka Ishii vs Urszula Radwanska

Team pages: Sayaka Ishii · Urszula Radwanska

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Sayaka Ishii Urszula Radwanska
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sayaka Ishii 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLWLWL
Urszula Radwanska 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sayaka Ishii 1514 · Urszula Radwanska 1483
Sayaka IshiiUrszula Radwanska
Our model54%46%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Sayaka Ishii makes many double faults (5.2/match).
  • Note: Urszula Radwanska makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Sayaka IshiiUrszula Radwanska
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91-1.3
Games (G-P)11.4-9.59.3-10.9
Aces1.93.6
Double faults5.24.7
1st serve %64.5%66%
Break %58.4%42%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sayaka Ishii

WWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Alice Ferlito
W15 Torello · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
26/08 Neus Torner Sensano
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
21/08 Juliana Giaccio
W15 Logrono
0-2 3-12 L
20/08 Valentina Losciale
W15 Logrono
2-0 12-7 W
19/08 Jordina Font
W15 Logrono
2-1 19-13 W
10/08 Katarina Kujovic
W35 Aldershot
0-2 9-13 L
09/08 Erin Pearce
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-3 W
05/08 Amelia Rajecki
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
03/08 Gabriella Da Silva Fick
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
02/08 Summer Yardley
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Urszula Radwanska

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Julia Stusek
W35 Verbier
0-2 8-13 L
26/08 Diana Marcinkevica
W35 Verbier
2-0 12-6 W
03/08 Aliona Falei
WTA Warsaw · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/08 Marcelina Podlinska
WTA Warsaw · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/07 Valentina Ryser
W50 Dublin
0-2 2-12 L
29/07 Anastasiia Sorska
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Esther Adeshina
W50 Nottingham
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Petra Sedlackova
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 10-15 L
21/05 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L
19/05 Freya Peet
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
2-1 14-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sayaka Ishii vs Urszula Radwanska?

Our model gives 62% to Sayaka Ishii, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.