Tennis · W50 Leiria · 30/08, 15:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Yashina vs Teresa Franco Dias
Team pages: Ekaterina Yashina · Teresa Franco Dias
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Yashina
Teresa Franco Dias
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Yashina
6-4 (W-L)
Teresa Franco Dias
0-10 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Yashina
1–0
Teresa Franco Dias
(1 last)
- 23 Apr2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Yashina 1473 · Teresa Franco Dias 1413
| Ekaterina Yashina | Teresa Franco Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Yashina (rating 1473 vs 1413).
- Ekaterina Yashina is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Yashina 1–0 Teresa Franco Dias (1).
- Note: Teresa Franco Dias makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Yashina | Teresa Franco Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.2-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.9 | 4.3-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 45.2% |
| Break % | 68.2% | 67.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
H2H · Ekaterina Yashina 1 – 0 Teresa Franco Dias (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Yashina 1–0 Teresa Franco Dias
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/23 ITF W60 Oeiras | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Yashina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Diana Marcinkevica W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Alicia Dudeney W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Anna Orlando Pellicero W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/08 | Carlota Corte W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Teresa Franco Dias
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Madalena Matias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Indianna Spink W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Diana Marcinkevica W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 28/04 | Sorana Matis W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Selina Atay W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/02 | Lina Glushko W75 Porto |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/02 | En Shuo Liang WTA Oeiras Qual · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Katerina Tsygourova W50 Porto |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/01 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W75 Porto |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Yashina vs Teresa Franco Dias?
Our model gives 75% to Ekaterina Yashina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.