Tennis · W50 Leiria · 30/08, 13:30

Prediction: Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Isabella Marton

Team pages: Maria Martinez Vaquero · Isabella Marton

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Maria Martinez Vaquero Isabella Marton
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Martinez Vaquero 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWLL
Isabella Marton 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Martinez Vaquero 1477 · Isabella Marton 1522
Maria Martinez VaqueroIsabella Marton
Our model44%56%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabella Marton (rating 1477 vs 1522).
  • Note: Maria Martinez Vaquero makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Maria Martinez VaqueroIsabella Marton
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.2-1
Games (G-P)9.6-10.410.2-10
Aces1.11.4
Double faults5.33.4
1st serve %64.3%63.4%
Break %53.9%38.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Martinez Vaquero

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Anna Siskova
W50 Hamburg
0-2 5-12 L
03/08 Tilwith Di Girolami
W75 Koksijde
0-2 5-12 L
02/08 Julie Myatovic
W75 Koksijde
2-0 12-2 W
28/07 Sarah Van Emst
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 8-12 L
21/07 Lola Giza
W50 Horb
0-2 6-12 L
17/07 Valeria Savinykh
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 13-16 L
16/07 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Nahia Berecoechea
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-6 W
15/06 Allura Zamarripa
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
14/06 Shuo Feng
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-1 15-14 W

Isabella Marton

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/08 Tatjana Maria
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/07 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Saskatoon
0-2 3-12 L
23/07 Thara Gowda
W35 Saskatoon
2-1 14-14 W
21/07 Kayo Nishimura
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 13-7 W
14/07 Ena Koike
W75 Granby
0-2 6-12 L
13/07 Nadia Lagaev
W75 Granby
2-0 13-8 W
12/07 Josie Usereau
W75 Granby
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Ana Grubor
W50 Columbus
0-2 8-12 L
07/07 Hephzibah Oluwadare
W50 Columbus
2-1 16-13 W
06/07 Julie Adele Bedard
W50 Columbus
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Isabella Marton?

Our model gives 57% to Maria Martinez Vaquero, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.