Tennis · W50 Leiria · 30/08, 16:30
Prediction: Sofia Johnson vs Jenna Defalco
Team pages: Sofia Johnson · Jenna Defalco
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Johnson
Jenna Defalco
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Johnson
8-2 (W-L)
Jenna Defalco
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Johnson 1531 · Jenna Defalco 1536
| Sofia Johnson | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jenna Defalco makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Sofia Johnson | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.2 | 10.9-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 59.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Storm Hunter WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Karman Kaur Thandi WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Hanna Chang W100 Evansville |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Briley Rhoden W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Haruka Kaji W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kristina Liutova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Anna Rogers W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Alana Smith W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Claire An W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Jenna Defalco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Isabel Pascual Montalvo W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Tian Jialin W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Paula Cembranos W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Daria Shubina W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Dalayna Hewitt W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Anna Rogers W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/07 | Mireya David W100 Evansville |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Johnson vs Jenna Defalco?
Our model gives 66% to Sofia Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.