Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 04:00

Prediction: Jie Cui vs James Trotter

Team pages: Jie Cui · James Trotter

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Jie Cui James Trotter
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jie Cui 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLWWWWL
James Trotter 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jie Cui 1492 · James Trotter 1538
Jie CuiJames Trotter
Our model43%57%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Trotter (rating 1492 vs 1538).

Statistics

Jie CuiJames Trotter
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.5-1
Games (G-P)12.3-11.712.1-11.1
Aces2.54.4
Double faults23.4
1st serve %67.9%76%
Break %58.8%46.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jie Cui

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Challenger Astana · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
13/08 Petr Bar Biryukov
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/08 Aziz Ouakaa
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
16/07 Matthew Forbes
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
14/07 Thomas Fancutt
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Matthew Forbes
M25 Dallas
0-2 10-13 L
28/06 Trevor Svajda
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
18/06 Dmitry Popko
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
1-2 16-17 L
16/06 Alejandro Jacome Jaramillo
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Duncan Chan
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L

James Trotter

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Tyler Zink
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
1-2 10-15 L
28/07 Hayato Matsuoka
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
28/07 Mikael Arseneault
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
21/07 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
20/07 Kokoro Isomura
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
20/07 Guillaume Dalmasso
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/07 Liam Draxl
Challenger Granby · Hard
1-2 12-13 L
13/07 Benjamin Thomas George
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-1 13-16 W
12/07 Jared Horwood
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
07/07 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Newport · Grass
1-2 16-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jie Cui vs James Trotter?

Our model gives 51% to James Trotter, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.