Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 04:00
Prediction: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou
Team pages: Ilya Ivashka · Yi Zhou
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilya Ivashka
Yi Zhou
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ilya Ivashka
6-4 (W-L)
Yi Zhou
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilya Ivashka 1548 · Yi Zhou 1489
| Ilya Ivashka | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilya Ivashka (rating 1548 vs 1489).
- Yi Zhou dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 46.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Ilya Ivashka | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-9.7 | 13-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Melvin Kumar Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 17/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Michael Geerts Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Robin Catry Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou?
Our model gives 56% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.