Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 04:00
Prediction: Ilia Simakin vs Denis Yevseyev
Team pages: Ilia Simakin · Denis Yevseyev
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilia Simakin
Denis Yevseyev
Estimated games
25.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ilia Simakin
5-5 (W-L)
Denis Yevseyev
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilia Simakin 1532 · Denis Yevseyev 1503
| Ilia Simakin | Denis Yevseyev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ilia Simakin makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Ilia Simakin | Denis Yevseyev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-13.1 | 12.7-12.6 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 32.4% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilia Simakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/06 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Denis Yevseyev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Mirza Basic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Jannik Maute M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Noel Larwig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilia Simakin vs Denis Yevseyev?
Our model gives 67% to Ilia Simakin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.