Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 04:00
Prediction: Hanyi Liu vs Kaichi Uchida
Team pages: Hanyi Liu · Kaichi Uchida
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanyi Liu
Kaichi Uchida
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Hanyi Liu
9-1 (W-L)
Kaichi Uchida
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanyi Liu 1565 · Kaichi Uchida 1386
| Hanyi Liu | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanyi Liu (rating 1565 vs 1386).
- Hanyi Liu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hanyi Liu | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-7.2 | 5.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 24.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanyi Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jia Hu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Max Houkes Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | James McCabe Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanyi Liu vs Kaichi Uchida?
Our model gives 57% to Hanyi Liu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.