Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 04:00
Prediction: Yosuke Watanuki vs Semen Pankin
Team pages: Yosuke Watanuki · Semen Pankin
Prediction summary
Winner
Yosuke Watanuki
Semen Pankin
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yosuke Watanuki
4-6 (W-L)
Semen Pankin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yosuke Watanuki 1491 · Semen Pankin 1494
| Yosuke Watanuki | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yosuke Watanuki dominates on serve: 10.5 aces and 43.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Yosuke Watanuki | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.6 | 10.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 10.5 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yosuke Watanuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 03/07 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Federico Cina French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Semen Pankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Dusan Bazdar M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Dominik Palan Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Togan Tokac Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yosuke Watanuki vs Semen Pankin?
Our model gives 60% to Yosuke Watanuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.