Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 04:00
Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Masamichi Imamura
Team pages: Bernard Tomic · Masamichi Imamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernard Tomic
Masamichi Imamura
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Bernard Tomic
4-6 (W-L)
Masamichi Imamura
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bernard Tomic
0–1
Masamichi Imamura
(1 last)
- 04 Feb1-2 10-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernard Tomic 1591 · Masamichi Imamura 1556
| Bernard Tomic | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Bernard Tomic 0–1 Masamichi Imamura (1).
Statistics
| Bernard Tomic | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.6 | 9.4-8.1 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Bernard Tomic 0 – 1 Masamichi Imamura (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bernard Tomic 0–1 Masamichi Imamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/25 Challenger Brisbane | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernard Tomic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 31/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Karen Khachanov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Alex Hernandez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/07 | Miguel Tobon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 19/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | James McCabe Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Masamichi Imamura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Shinji Hazawa M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Darian King Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/07 | James Tracy Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Masamichi Imamura?
Our model gives 61% to Bernard Tomic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

