Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 30/08, 06:30
Prediction: Khumoyun Sultanov vs Fumin Jiang
Team pages: Khumoyun Sultanov · Fumin Jiang
Prediction summary
Winner
Khumoyun Sultanov
Fumin Jiang
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Khumoyun Sultanov
7-3 (W-L)
Fumin Jiang
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Khumoyun Sultanov 1551 · Fumin Jiang 1457
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Fumin Jiang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khumoyun Sultanov (rating 1551 vs 1457).
- Khumoyun Sultanov is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Fumin Jiang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.7 | 8.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khumoyun Sultanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Dominik Recek Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Karl Friberg M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Fumin Jiang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Qian Sun M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaesung Choe M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Roman Sancilio M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khumoyun Sultanov vs Fumin Jiang?
Our model gives 79% to Khumoyun Sultanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.