Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 30/08, 08:30
Prediction: Yingqun Sun vs Hikaru Sato
Team pages: Yingqun Sun · Hikaru Sato
Prediction summary
Winner
Yingqun Sun
Hikaru Sato
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yingqun Sun
4-6 (W-L)
Hikaru Sato
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yingqun Sun 1479 · Hikaru Sato 1533
| Yingqun Sun | Hikaru Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Sato (rating 1479 vs 1533).
Statistics
| Yingqun Sun | Hikaru Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.8 | 12.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yingqun Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Han Shi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Yuno Kitahara W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Anastasiia Gureva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Maralgoo Chogsomjav W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Sijia Wei W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Jinyu Zhou W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Hikaru Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Julia Avdeeva W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Indianna Spink W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Mao Mushika W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Mio Mushika W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Anchisa Chanta W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Tzeng Mu-Jie W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yingqun Sun vs Hikaru Sato?
Our model gives 67% to Hikaru Sato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.