Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 30/08, 08:30
Prediction: Jiaqi Wang vs Yuno Kitahara
Team pages: Jiaqi Wang · Yuno Kitahara
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiaqi Wang
Yuno Kitahara
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Jiaqi Wang
7-3 (W-L)
Yuno Kitahara
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiaqi Wang 1549 · Yuno Kitahara 1469
| Jiaqi Wang | Yuno Kitahara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiaqi Wang (rating 1549 vs 1469).
- Jiaqi Wang is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jiaqi Wang | Yuno Kitahara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-7.1 | 9.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 63.7% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiaqi Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 01/07 | Guyu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/06 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 26/06 | Chenting Zhu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Wenfei Yu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Han Shi W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Varvara Panshina W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Yuno Kitahara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Denise Valente W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Haruka Kaji W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Fang An Lin W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiaqi Wang vs Yuno Kitahara?
Our model gives 65% to Jiaqi Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.