Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 30/08, 08:30
Prediction: Valeria Savinykh vs Eri Shimizu
Team pages: Valeria Savinykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Valeria Savinykh
Eri Shimizu
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Valeria Savinykh
3-7 (W-L)
Eri Shimizu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valeria Savinykh 1467 · Eri Shimizu 1526
| Valeria Savinykh | Eri Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eri Shimizu (rating 1467 vs 1526).
Statistics
| Valeria Savinykh | Eri Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.9 | 10.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 53.1% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valeria Savinykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Emma Dong WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Mia Kupres WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Hina Inoue W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Celia Anson Sanchez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Ankita Raina W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Eri Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Misaki Matsuda W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Mayuka Aikawa W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Han Shi W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Nagi Hanatani W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/05 | Alexandra Osborne W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valeria Savinykh vs Eri Shimizu?
Our model gives 56% to Eri Shimizu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.