Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 30/08, 04:00
Prediction: Jia-Jing Lu vs Erika Sema
Team pages: Jia-Jing Lu · Erika Sema
Prediction summary
Winner
Jia-Jing Lu
Erika Sema
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jia-Jing Lu
6-4 (W-L)
Erika Sema
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jia-Jing Lu
1–1
Erika Sema
(2 last)
- 23 Mar2-0 13-6W
- 14 Mar0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jia-Jing Lu 1542 · Erika Sema 1507
| Jia-Jing Lu | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (5.9/match).
- Note: Erika Sema makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Jia-Jing Lu | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.9 | 11.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Jia-Jing Lu 1 – 1 Erika Sema (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jia-Jing Lu 1–1 Erika Sema
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/22 ITF W60 Canberra | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/03/18 ITF Women Toyota | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jia-Jing Lu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Han Shi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Sijia Wei W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/08 | Annika Penickova W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Aspen Schuman W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Piper Charney W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Isabella Marton W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Erika Sema
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Eunhye Lee W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Maria F Navarro Oliva W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Sara Saito W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Kelly Keller W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Cadence Brace W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Avery Alexander W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Naomi Xu W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Chia Yi Tsao W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jia-Jing Lu vs Erika Sema?
Our model gives 66% to Jia-Jing Lu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.